### Possible Answer

Note that if m=1, the simple moving average (SMA) model is equivalent to the ... However, it is not too hard to calculate empirical estimates of the confidence limits for ... smoothed value and the current observation, where α controls the closeness of .... However, you can add a constant long-term exponential trend to a simple ... - read more

Jun 23, 2010 ... A trend in the data means that the observation values tend to either increase or decrease over ... Determine which moving average model to use. ... Then you can calculate the moving average rate by completing the rate calculation. ... Many contracts obligate the contractor to meet uncertain requirements. - read more

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